A Breakdown of Map Winrates and MapElo

The best players on each map

There are many ways to compare Roulette Rivals competitors across the entire trilogy. But is it possible to use similar metrics on a map-by-map level? For today’s statistical breakdown, we introduce MapElo, a new metric designed to evaluate the best players on each individual map.

MapElo uses the standard Elo formula with a few notable adjustments. Rookie players receive a higher K-factor for their first ten spins instead of the usual 20 matches, but there’s no consideration for returning players, and Elo decay is reduced to typically 5 Elo per tournament missed.

For each map, two separate leaderboards are displayed. The first ranks players by their MapElo, rewarding performance regardless of experience, though Elo decay still applies. The second leaderboard is sorted by winrate, but only includes players with at least eight spins completed, to filter out unbeaten but inexperienced players.

So, as of the end of Roulette Rivals 16, who stands out as the top performer on each map?

Paris, Sapienza, Marrakesh

Our trilogy begins once again in Paris, where Frote7 currently holds the title of best in the community. He and Ducker share the record for most spins on the map, with 27 apiece, and while Ducker boasts a slightly higher winrate, it was achieved against slightly weaker competition. Frote7, meanwhile, has led the Elo charts for most of Roulette’s history, though Blithe and TheTimeCube each managed to claim the top spot briefly.

Frote7 has even more Elo in Sapienza, but here it's only enough for third place. His fellow veteran Yannini joins him near the top, with both players recording a roughly 75% winrate across a combined 81 spins. However, it’s Scruffy who recently overtook them following a dominant RR16 performance. If Nezuko Chan maintains his near-90% winrate, he might soon challenge for the throne as well.

In Marrakesh, Frote7 holds the top spot again—this time by a single Elo point—but it’s his win count that sets him apart. His 23 wins in 30 spins are unmatched, with Yannini a distant second at 14 wins in 21. Several others, including Music Inc, quatilyti, Jokerj, and ChrisX3, have posted strong winrates over a smaller sample size, so it’ll be worth watching whether any of them can mount a serious challenge for the Marrakesh title.

Bangkok, Colorado, Hokkaido

With undefeated DaniButa not playing for two years and seasoned veterans slipping below an 80% winrate, Bangkok delivers the main surprise of this breakdown: Peter Dutton MP is the best Bangkok player in the community! It’s not without reason either; his staggering 95% winrate across ten matches puts him in a league of his own. While many of those victories came against lower-rated opponents, he notably defeated The Rieper 47 early in RR16, proving that the Australian is a serious threat whenever Bangkok is in play.

Colorado, like a classic Season 1 map, is claimed by Frote7, though the story of this map is not so simple. For more than a year starting RR11, Phanium led the field, only losing his crown in RR15. Frote only retook the lead during RR16 from Moo, who is currently tied for second with The Rieper 47. With a strong 90% winrate, Dein Nomos could be the new leader eventually, echoing a trend seen across other Big Five maps.

Hokkaido is one of the more volatile maps to report on, with former leaders such as Blithe, TK47, IlikeHitman, and Dein Nomos. This short but versatile map doesn’t produce a lot of exceptional winrates, so its top Elo scores remain achievable by many players. The current leader is The Rieper 47, who may only have a 67% winrate, but he achieved his wins primarily against RR champions and finalists.

Miami, Santa Fortuna, Mumbai

One of the most memorable win streaks belongs to linux_penguin, who opened their Miami career with eleven straight victories. That run kept linux atop the Miami leaderboard for four tournaments, until Ducker seized control in RR10, who was then dethroned by Scruffy in RR16. With just 30 Elo points separating the top six, a strong RR17 showing from any of them could quickly shift the balance once again.

Specialists, rejoice: Santa Fortuna’s top-ranked player is none other than the map’s own guide writer, BigMachete13. He recently overtook k-kaneta, who boasts 9 wins from 10 spins—a mark nearly matched by Meme Junkie, the map’s original powerhouse. If Dein Nomos manages a positive winrate in RR17, he could leapfrog Machete and most likely take the lead.

Mumbai tells a similar story: The_Buff_Guy once dominated the map, but his position has faded after stepping back from competition. In his absence, Jokerj quietly rose to the top, stringing together five straight wins ahead of RR15. But after falling to Nezuko Chan in RR16, the door opened for The Rieper 47, who capitalized with six straight wins of his own, gradually making his case as Mumbai’s new top contender.

Whittleton Creek, Ambrose Island, Isle of Sgàil

Whittleton Creek saw early dominance from pokeredface, followed by a standout year from Meme Junkie. Meme remains iconic for his Whittleton Creek knowledge, demonstrated by a 90% winrate and his remote emetic strat on Nolan. In4Fun eventually broke through and has led for most of the recent tournaments, briefly losing the top spot to Scruffy around RR15. Both ChannelJoined and lukedotpng could be serious contenders for the #1 spot in the near future, especially if they can maintain their strong winrates above 80%.

Hitman’s newest map is already approaching 3 years old, yet not many players have great match experience on Ambrose Island. TheTimeCube has the best winrate out of anyone with eight or more spins played, but Scruffy’s 14 wins from 20 games were enough to take the lead at the tail end of RR16. Honorable mention goes to IlikeHitman, who won all five of his first Ambrose spins, giving him the early lead from RR9 all the way to RR13.

Isle of Sgàil has seen no lasting dominance, but at least there has always been a strong list of contenders. ChrisX3 held the top spot in 2021 before his long break, and as his Elo decayed, the lead changed hands multiple times. Since RRWC 2024, Music Inc has claimed first place, and with a 31-point edge, he’s likely to keep it even if he decides not to play in RR17.

New York, Haven Island, Dubai

While earlier maps tend to feature tight battles for the top spot, many of the later maps are defined by clear dominance, nowhere more so than in New York. Over the past few years, Scruffy and New York have become the most iconic player-map pairing in the game. Though the four-time champ is dangerous everywhere, his undefeated 20-match streak in New York stands as one of the strongest achievements in roulette. Veterans ThatObserver and In4Fun are tied for second, while IlikeHitman and a surprise entry, Falcon, round out the top five.

Haven Island is one of the few maps defined by two players rather than one. Both Phanium and In4Fun boast winrates near 90%, over 24 and 27 spins respectively. Aside from some early tournaments where Ducker held the lead, In4Fun dominated until RR7, followed by a long reign from Phanium until RR13, when the lead flipped back. Over 100 points behind the two, Yannini is in third place, thanks to a solid winrate over a mind-blowing 36 spins played.

Both anecdotally and statistically, Dubai has always been a battleground between Phanium and Scruffy. Scruffy is clearly in his element here, holding the three fastest wins on this short map. But at his peak, Phanium was unstoppable, and he still holds the best winrate among experienced players. After briefly claiming the top spot, In4Fun now sits in third, ahead of Hashashin47 and quatilyti — both of whom have only played five spins each but already notched impressive wins and are trending upward.

Dartmoor and Berlin

It’s another win for the specialists: Jokerj may be a strong all-rounder, but he'll always be most associated with his love and mastery of Dartmoor. No one else has managed to maintain his 83% winrate across as many spins; only Meekah comes close, even briefly holding the top spot around RR11. If Scruffy’s dominant run continues, the gap might narrow, but Dartmoor still looks like the map least likely to change hands anytime soon.

Berlin is often associated with specialists like ChrisX3 and Nezuko Chan, and it tends to favor RR champions in general, but the current leader is none of the above. Instead, it's the ever-consistent Dein Nomos, who has climbed the rankings with nine wins and just a single loss: he unseated Ducker, who had led from RR6 to RR14. With TheTimeCube and k-kaneta not competing as much lately, Scruffy now poses the biggest threat to Dein’s first place.

Chongqing and Mendoza

Outside of KOats’ early stint in 2021, no player has become a true Chongqing specialist. Yannini took the initial lead in RR4 and held it all the way until RR12, sometimes in a three-way tie with zRune and In4Fun. After brief, solo leads by In4Fun and Phanium, newcomer Music Inc took over and has held the top spot since RRWC 2024. With seven wins from eight spins, he also boasts the best winrate on the map. However, if he doesn’t return soon, Elo decay may see him overtaken — though with most other high-performers like DaniButa, zRune, and T_Nort23 also inactive, we may well see the lead return to In4Fun or Phanium.

We close our analysis with one of the most dominant player-map pairings: Dein Nomos and Mendoza. The Indonesian has only lost twice from 21 spins, making him the undisputed leader on this map. Even top contenders like Yannini and ChromeX, with an 85% winrate across 20 spins, trail him by more than 80 Elo points. Instead, it’s ChrisX3 — with a 90% winrate from nine spins — who could break into the Top 3 if his strong form continues in RR17.

Which leaderboard surprised you most? Let me know in the comments, along with what you would like to read about next!